NPD analyst Mat Piscatella made the prediction in a blog reflecting on games industry sales in the first half of the year and looking forward to the remaining six months of 2022.
“Elden Ring will finish as 2022’s best-selling premium game in the US market, marking only the 3rd time since 2009 that a Call of Duty franchise release does not lead the market,” he wrote.
In April, NPD said Elden Ring had overtaken Call of Duty Vanguard to become the best-selling game of the past 12 months in the US market.
Piscatella predicts this year’s top-selling games in the US will be (in alphabetical order): Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2, Elden Ring, God of War Ragnarök, Gotham Knights, Horizon: Forbidden West, Lego Star Wars: The Skywalker Saga, Madden NFL 23, NBA 2K23, Pokémon Legends: Arceus, and Pokémon Scarlet/Violet.
“Despite Elden Ring leading the individual title charts, Call of Duty will remain the US market’s best-selling premium gaming franchise for a record 14th consecutive year,” he forecast.
Overall US consumer spending on video game hardware, content and accessories in 2022 is forecast to reach $55.5 billion, a decline of 8.7% compared to last year.